Archive for the ‘recession’ Category
556 gallons consumed = $100 saved, happy gas tax holiday!
John McCain is speaking in Phoenix today (05/05/08), fielding typical questions along with a few ‘Cinco de Mayo’ immigration questions. It’s laughable that reporters say things like “since it’s Cinco de Mayo, I wanted to ask you about immigration.” McCain has been one of the more rational Republicans on the issue. He was asked a few questions about Sheriff Joe Arpaio and his relationship(if any) with the controversial sheriff. Sheriff Joe boasts great results, and makes people feel safe. That is, unless you are darker than a paper bag, which is probably why McCain made no close association with Arpaio.
Four minutes after talking about suspending the gas tax for the summer and “taking it out of general revenues”, Senator McCain begins talking about deteriorating bridges and roads. First of all, we’re not “taking it out” of anything, it’s money not coming in to the federal government. Secondly, that money would normally be coming in and going straight to the highway trust fund, or the fund that repairs and improves our transportation infrastructure.
At least Senator Clinton proposes to make Big Oil pay a windfall profits tax after their record-breaking year. This would indeed lead to different behavior, costing us more anyway, but at least it isn’t robbing Peter to pay Paul. There’s no sense in making Americans less safe on the road while provoking more people to drive when the ultimate goal in this time is to have less oil consumed. It is simply a political game to make candidates look good, but in reality, even this will cost us.
We cannot allow games to be played with legislation in order to pander and get more votes. That’s not the purpose or role of government, and every counter-productive action we take is like taking two steps away from the concept of a more perfect Union. Don’t fall for these gas tax holiday tricks, demand real action from your government. Start by using the rooftop of any government building for solar cells, which would generate a hell of a lot more energy than the hot air coming out of Washington generates.
Jason Linkins at the Huffington Post as an excellent account of one man’s quest to save $100 from the gas tax holiday. 200 economists and a few Nobel prize winners also disagree with this proposed gas tax holiday. I’d simply implore everyone to read these and/or do their own math with their own vehicles. I hope you have a gas guzzler, because you need to consume 556 gallons of gasoline in order to save $100 (saving 18 cents/gallon).
556 x $0.18 = $100.08
12 gallon tank filled 46 times
20 gallon tank filled 28 times
Is that worth us paying Congress to even consider?
It was Congress…
…just not the 110th United States Congress. When President Bush passes the buck on the housing crisis, he sends a solar wave of hypocrisy through the nation strong enough to power every home in America for the year. Maybe that’s a bit idealistic, but we truly have a revisionist in the White House. This current housing crisis couldn’t possibly have been created by bank deregulation and bankruptcy reform of the 109th Congress.
Banks knowing Americans couldn’t get out of trouble when they employed predatory lending practices didn’t spur a wave of high-risk, adjustable-rate mortgages. That couldn’t be how it happened. It must be, as President Bush said today, the fault of a slow-as-molasses Congress divided by the fringe elements of both sides. That makes perfect sense.
Scapegoating
The 110th Congress has failed America in many key ways. Inactivity in government can mean the difference of survival and “falling through the cracks”. It doesn’t come close to the devastation that counteractive policy and reform causes the American public. We work harder for less money, but the banks make far more. The average American swaps out name brands for generics as luxury jets, high-ticket jewelry and $10M apartments in Manhattan sell like hot-cakes.
Cronyism
When you sell office supplies and your boss is underqualified and only became manager because of personal connections, work can be a source of frustration. When your personal connections begin causing entire populations to be ignored in the aftermath of a devastating hurricane, it becomes a much larger issue. Mike Brown, Michael Chertoff, Alberto Gonzales are only a few of the more well-known examples of Bush administration cronies, but they provide enough of an example of how ill-served the American public can be when cronies are appointed. This angers me no matter who is doing it, but by far the most gross example of overstretched qualifications are those appointments by the current faux-Republican, neo-Conservative administration. With recent comments exposing his lack of respect for humanity, one could put Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia in that grouping as well.
Economic factors are always difficult to directly correllate and I have a feeling I may have overstretched this link. The 109th did deregulate banks and make it much harder for hard working families to file for bankruptcy. In some way this surely has affected the housing crisis, in lender’s attitude and consumer’s vulnerability. I’m just not convinced it’s a direct cause -> effect relationship, so don’t get the impression I’m blaming the entire housing crisis on the 109th or one piece of legislation.
Stop the strobe light and see the real world
Elizabeth Edwards has written a beautiful op-ed piece for the Sunday New York Times (4/27/08) imploring the media to do its job. It seems like it should go without saying, but the media has failed the American people and democracy in general for the better part of the last decade. The media is often referred to as the 4th branch of government, because a free press acts as a check on political power. If the truth is available, it’s much harder to be hoodwinked.
The internet has been the saving grace for many Americans, who know the “truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth” is out there somewhere, just not in the mainstream media. Mrs. Edwards, wife of former Democratic presidential hopeful John Edwards, uses the phrase “strobe-light journalism” to describe the outline-only perspective presented by the mainstream media.
…every analysis that is shortened, every corner that is cut, moves us further away from the truth until what is left is the Cliffs Notes of the news, or what I call strobe-light journalism, in which the outlines are accurate enough but we cannot really see the whole picture.
She frames the situation far better than I could, and offers a stronger voice. Although a politician’s wife is no more an expert than any blogger, this truth will receive much more airplay because of her higher profile. I don’t believe the media will actually correct this issue, mostly because “the media” is no more a homogeneous group than “the American people”. A few of the pundits and talking heads are beginning to report more on the real issues, even if they fail to point out basic inaccuracies in the positions of each candidate.
For example, John McCain is able to freely attack Barack Obama over his proposal to raise the capital gains tax. I have yet to hear any journalist correct the statements of McCain, although they frequently play the statement and ponder “will this hurt Obama?” It will if nobody speaks the truth. First take a look at Sen. McCain’s attack on Obama.
Senator Obama says that he doesn’t want to raise taxes on anybody over — making over $200,000 a year, yet he wants to nearly double the capital gains tax. Nearly double it, which 100 million Americans have investments in — mutual funds, 401(k)s — policemen, firemen, nurses. He wants to increase their taxes.
Millions of Americans have investments, most have jobs. The problem is that someone making a living from investments alone end up paying half the taxes of the working people. Low capital gains taxes make investments available to more Americans, but most Americans aren’t making more money to invest. Lower capital gains taxes do benefit average Americans to some degree, but the wealthy to a far greater degree. A post at the DailyKos points out just how fundamentally wrong McCain is on this issue.
Investments contained in 401-K’s (Or in the case of ‘policemen, firemen’ usually a 403-B), pensions, IRAs, tax deferred variable annuities, and similar retirement vehicles aren’t subject to capital gains tax — they’re not taxed at all. Changing the capital gains tax rate will have zero effect on them. Withdrawals from tax deferred accounts by retirees are generally taxed at whatever the income tax rate is for that person at the time of withdrawal (Which, incidentally, is usually a hell of a lot more than the current long term capital gains tax rate, yet another way to rip off the middle class).
Many may dismiss anything from the DailyKos, but anyone with an understanding of our tax code and economy can confirm. Of course, people in the mainstream media discredit “far-left” bloggers at the DailyKos and other sites. The problem is, someone isn’t coming clean, and any deeper research reveals it’s the media. Many bloggers can be wrong about their facts, but they can also hyperlink ’til their heart’s content, allowing anyone reading the story to see the sources. Unfortunately, there exists no such option for the mainstream media. They quote and cite themselves as the expert, and we’re asked to accept it as fact.
I’ve always considered myself a moderate, although I’m sure many would call shenanigans. It’s just harder and harder to maintain any moderate views when our democracy has been so hijacked by ideologues who give most conservatives a bad reputation. A recent poll shows that 53% of Americans have an unfavorable view of the Republican Party, which I consider a shame, even though I admit I would like to see a Democrat win in November. A two-party system is divisive in some ways, but it can be divisive to the point of stalemate when the media decides to pick sides and report as a two-party media.
Jonathan Capehart of The Washington Post and Ryan Lizza of The New Yorker both deserve some serious credit for putting recent comments by Reverend Wright into real context, as I try to point out any time I see the truth told on TV. On today’s Hardball with Chris Matthews, both attempted to point out that Barack Obama has never aligned himself with the views of Reverend Wright. If he ever had, he’d already be out of this race. We know his pastor and his bowling score, now if only we didn’t have to look so hard for his positions on the issues.
Did you, for example, ever know a single fact about Joe Biden’s health care plan? Anything at all? But let me guess, you know Barack Obama’s bowling score. We are choosing a president, the next leader of the free world. We are not buying soap, and we are not choosing a court clerk with primarily administrative duties. - Elizabeth Edwards
McCain: Cutting taxes more important than balanced budget
Republican John McCain said Sunday that cutting taxes and stimulating the economy are more important than balancing the budget, and accused both Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama of supporting tax hikes that would worsen the impact of a recession.
Senator McCain thinks he’s going to reverse our $3 trillion deficit by cutting wasteful spending. That’s great, Mr. McCain, but after that $18 billion, what then? We’re 0.6% better-off. The “wasteful spending” he should target is the $500 billion/year war festering a cauldron of anti-American sentiment and making orphans out of Iraqi children. We can’t afford McBush, John McCain is a far better human being and more worthy than Bush to lead the free world, but that was in 2000.
Today he is too out of touch to be effective, associates far too often with Bush administration cronies and knows absolutely nothing about the biggest issue this election cycle: the economy. Sure, he can get advisers who understand the economy, but without some independent understanding he won’t even know who to pick as advisers. That’s a dangerous situation given what has happened to this country as a result of the neo-conservative hijacking of the Republican Party in the last 7 years.
I also noticed on CNN and MSNBC today he’s reportedly aiming for energy independence within 5 years. This is an admirable goal. I just keep thinking “who’s the one spouting empty rhetoric again?” It seems to me that because Senator McCain has been in Washington for a quarter century, he gets a free pass. Anything he proposes is assume to be a good enough idea and above careful scrutiny. A major goal for energy independence should be in 5 years, but to say a candidate can eliminate reliance on foreign oil in that short time almost reeks of corporate greed over the last 8 years.
If this is/were possible, we basically fought a war on a lie, helped our enemy gain footing in a new part of the world. Our true enemy had never been allowed or accepted within Iraq (and isn’t in Iran, for that matter). We’ve stayed 5 years, as long as McCain thinks it would take to gain energy independence. Over that time, only oil companies and corporate executives have benefited from any Bush administration policy.
As this administration destroyed the economy, it sends us $600 checks to make us feel like we’re not being ignored and our rights trampled. As this administration has needlessly put our servicemen in harm’s way, we’ve only heard fear mongering from the White House and most of the news media. As schools have become re-segregated, this administration has standardized tests, so that those with the fewest opportunities and resources are graded on the same scale as those in $100 million high schools.
This article also brings up William Ayers, 1960s-era (as in, when Obama was under age 10) radical who admitted to setting bombs. They were the most extreme part of the anti-war movement, and truly detracted from many of the ideas they tried to uphold. The interesting thing about this, however, is that this man is an English professor. He’s not in jail. I know some Americans read this and think, well WHY NOT? That is a perfectly natural reaction, but the simple fact is that he has not been convicted of a crime in a court of law. Why should Obama be guilty by association? He points out, when asked about Ayers, that he was 8 years old at the time. I believe he was living in Indonesia or Hawaii, far away from Ayers and the Weather Underground.
I’m no TV Guide, but any show with Sean Hannity will discuss this for the next 6 months. I’m also no psychic, but he’ll probably never mention McCain’s wife stealing drugs from her non-profit organizations, his absolute ignorance of economic issues and his utter confusion concerning our enemy. He thinks the way to fix our tax code is to build another, optional system and have it run alongside the current system. That will sure save money for our economy, bloat the government and tax code even more. Vote for a better economy and a safer America, pass on John McCain.
CBS’ Moonves gets a 28% raise as Katie Couric pushed out and ratings, ad sales drop
The network CEO received $36.8 million last year, including an $18.5-million cash bonus.
It’s always easy to gripe about the boss, and seemingly easier to pass off the concerns of the common man when the real wealth is on the table. I’ve argued for a long time that we shouldn’t have the disgusting 300 to 1 scale for the hourly wages of an executive versus a labor worker. It’s not like it would spur creativity to limit the top end of what people can make. Not to a ridiculous extent, but this story is a prime example of a CEO being overpaid and not having any effect. Leslie Moonves will never have to come to grips with the fact that what he did moved kids out of colleges and back home to work. He’s got too much money to need a soul. What he, and many (but not all) of his contemporaries, have done by gouging the worker in a time of desperate need.
Americans must work longer hours just to get by with rising gas and food prices and a weak economy. The corporate greed that has become synonymous with “the American way” is sickening. Our leaders stand by doing absolutely nothing after their past actions included entrenching us in an unjust war and deregulating the bank industry in favor of the CEOs of major banking and financial institutions over the American people. It is now harder for Americans to declare bankruptcy and very much easier to get into the position of needing to file for bankruptcy (from health care costs, foreclosure, natural disaster when none of our troops are available for rescue and restore efforts).
We need a president with a strong code of ethics just like we need CEOs and business leaders with a strong code of ethics, or we will be easily manipulated and led into wars or corrupt financial decisions. I am always surprised with how little feedback is heard when the business elite are given ridiculous salaries or bonuses, like Michael Crow at Arizona State University who receives a $600,000 bonus for staying for his entire contract. At Target, CEO Robert Ulrich’s pay increased by ten percent to $20 million even as sales were down.
I’m not at all saying the CEO should make the same amount as the stocker at Target. I just believe there is something wrong with a raise when revenues are down, and going from $12 million to $20 million when most Americans can’t keep up with inflation is actually pathetic. It shows something of your soul when this is the world you choose to create. Some people are given extraordinary power and do absolutely nothing positive with it. Others possess such power and end up a wash, and very few become Gandhi, Dr. King or Benazir Bhutto. I just hope we’re making it clear to kids who they should and should not look up to, I don’t mind the variety I just hope there’s enough editorial comment for young minds.
Throw in the fact that they are reported to be pushing Katie Couric out, although I’ve seen reports that both CBS and Couric deny that story.
Two hundred-millionaires attack Obama for being out of touch
The irony about all the “outrage” that’s being manufactured over Barack Obama’s small-town Pennsylvania statement is that it’s coming exclusively from out-of-touch rich people like John McCain and Hillary Clinton, who are making the assumption that this is something small-town Pennsylvanians should be offended by.
I just had to post this. We have this mountain being made out of the little molehills of Obama’s campaign and ludicrous statements and outright lies of McCain and Clinton go by relatively untouched. When will politics as usual end? Hopefully January 20th, 2009 at noon EST we can have a uniting force telling Congress to get things done. Giving them the power to do their jobs back. The cowboy will have dropped the ropes and the bull of our economy and it will let loose.
McCain: I’ll Cut Deficits Like Reagan (Who Tripled Deficit)
Town Hall: asked how he plans to balance the budget, McCain praised Reaganomics…going on to say how he’ll cut the deficit, apparenlty using that same magical fairy dust that Ronny had.”
This jaded view of the Reagan administration is spooky in a time when executive power has already been expanded beyond belief. President Reagan implemented some great programs for stimulating the free market, however, he was not perfect. He tripled the deficit and pumped more money into frivolous government bureaucracies in the War on Drugs and Star Wars. It all seems to bring me back to the same picture I saw on Digg a few weeks ago:
George Bush stole my generation
Forget the 4,000 casualty mark, the $500 billion dollars spent, the absolute lack of progress. Consider the fact that 1 in 8 troops return with post-traumatic stress disorder. After 121 suicides in 2007 among active military personnel, we need to consider what we’re doing to an entire generation (without the draft, we still all seem to be affected or know someone who is affected by the war). As a student of history, this kind of abuse to the fabric of our society is how empires crumble, and the fact that China is funding our war doesn’t help at all.
I just can’t imagine any worse direction to be heading for America. We’ve sold our souls for business and rampant consumerism. Lead-based paint and tainted food aren’t enough to get people to wake up and exercise that little vote you have every time you hold a dollar. Everything purchased is a vote for that product, that company. We are all outraged when there’s something unsafe for our kids on the shelf, but so many people had the cheap Chinese products, I heard fewer parents saying they had nothing to worry about, they bought American products. We either have to realize another nation essential owns our mortgage, or we have to start doing some home improvement on our own.
I’m generally not one for activism to place major intrusions on my life, or have them become the only things I can talk about. Sometimes the little rewiring of your brain to look at where a product was made, finding a locally-owned market or farmer’s co-op or just finding ways to entertain your children without Thomas the Tank Engine and accompanying TV shows. If I can get my brain to operate slightly differently, it will stick. If I have to make a major effort to actually see results, I’ll likely quit trying. Everyone has a role to play and a voice to use.
John McCain says: Al Qaeda in Tibet is a major threat
Well it’s only a hop, skip and a jump away from what he’s confusing now, that Al Qaeda in Iraq (which gained footing only after the US invasion in 2003) is Shi’ah; and grossly overestimating their popularity (an estimated 1000 extremists in Iraq). Today he says he won’t rule out pre-emptive war and he’s actually being considered for President? I don’t understand how so many people can be duped or asleep at the wheel. Check out the blog and the book on The Real McCain
Ambassador Crocker, you remind me too much of Alberto Gonzales
There are some things you seem to know about, and then there’s your job, which you clearly don’t have a clue about. You don’t have a clue of the minds of American people, who understand a 5-week cutoff doesn’t mean much when you’ve strung this war along for five years.
General Petraeus seems to understand much more about the conflict than he feels like he can share, at least that’s my read on him. He is a better balance, but the dual press conference and Senate committee interviews reveals just how rampant the cronyism has been running in our government.
We need a President who will appoint qualified, intelligent people to high profile and important positions in our government rather than his friends who have done him favors in the past. The next President has his/her work cut out for her/him. It’s like moving into a house you bought at a foreclosure auction and find the previous owner left an irresponsible amount of feces on the walls and stuck into the carpets. Only this would be the White House, and the only thing soiled is the Constitution.
I’m sorry but if you can’t even define “success” to the people who authorize your paycheck, you are not doing a good job. You are the American Ambassador to Iraq, not George Bush’s personal ambassador to Iraq. Start representing the people of this country and finding us a safe way out of that quagmire.
NEWS FLASH: YOU just gave $300 to JP Morgan Chase -Jason Kolb
Jason Kolb has written a couple of my all-time favorite blog posts, if I actually kept track. His response to the JP Morgan Chase corporate pork buyout was dead-on. This is not a free market. This misconception that any spending by the government under a Democrat is wasteful and welfare and Republicans are automatically fiscally conservative is absurd.
President Reagan’s administration even raised taxes each of the last 7 years following a large cut the first year. At this rate, any of the candidates could come into the White House and crack down on just a few of the leaks in our public cashflow and lower taxes quite a bit. The problem is that our current war is not being funded by us, it is being funded by our children and grandchildren in the form of loans. A war on borrowed money, could you imagine such an evil plot?
We bail out banks like JP Morgan Chase, in 2001 we bailed out the airlines to the tune of $15 billion. Today we have some 9/11 first responders with major illnesses amidst health budget cuts. I’ve seen some great mom and pop businesses go under, where was the federal government then? I’m cool with businesses collapsing, creative destruction, I truly am. I just can’t stomach how uneven the playing field is at this point. The federal government shouldn’t be bailing any business out. Any bailout measures, for people or business should be carefully considered, but the problem with denying hardworking families and instead giving that money to corporations and banks is that you create people who truly have nothing left. As Bob Dylan said “when you’ve got nothin’, you’ve got nothin’ to lose.” Soon the same people will be complaining about crime and poverty.
‘Millions Wasted On Government Credit Cards’ - another argument for transparent government
“Federal employees charged millions of dollars for Internet dating, tailor-made suits, lingerie, lavish dinners and other questionable expenses to their government credit cards over a 15-month period, congressional auditors say.”
Just the numbers alone in this report make me understand why people hate and distrust the government to the point of not voting. If not paying taxes were an acceptable protest, the government wouldn’t receive 30% of the current revenues. Those Government Accountability Office reports seem to be the only thing worth our tax dollars anymore. Everyone should read this story, wake up and demand more from their government.
The trouble with relying on statistics…
Statistics can lie. In fact, all statistics are generated by studies funded by someone interested in finding something. Different research groups get together with an aim and, especially in the social sciences, they either publish all of their successes or abort the project. A bright line can be drawn between social scientists (including myself) and natural scientists. That particular science community is self-checking and one of the most reliable bodies of highly trained problem solvers on this planet. In the “debate” about global warming, how often are you presented with real studies of the issue, done by true scientists? I’ve heard some 3rd-degree evidence, such as the fact that Pluto is warming (and climate changes are being recorded on nearly every other planet in our solar system) and therefore our planet’s warming is not the result of human activity. This seems very convincing until you try to find actual studies, and the methodologies and findings from the study.
It is easy to find analysis and coverage (especially on talk radio) of these studies, but much more difficult to find and examine as a researcher. I am not claiming there aren’t a few scientific studies disproving global warming, but the media blitz set to dumb down and polarize the debate have done an incredible job. You could be led to believe that the debate is raging within the science community, and it’s really not. To what extent humans do negatively and can positively affect our planet is a debate, but the fact that humans have contributed to rapid degradation of some of our vital resources isn’t a question. Some environmentalist causes are complete nonsense, and so are some free market entrepreneurs’ money-making schemes. The point is to have the issues we do agree on sorted out and tackled first, let researchers argue over details and not put every cause and issue under the same umbrella.
A few points of the hype to avoid getting caught up in:
Al Gore’s theory of global warming - This is not one man’s theory, this is one man’s philanthropic goal and a majority of scientist’s viewpoint on climate change and the effects humans can have on the planet. If you’re attaching Al Gore’s name to everything Green, you’ve been swindled by someone. He’s involved, but he doesn’t get a cut of your tax credit for making your home more energy efficient. Not every environmental issue is global warming - They shouldn’t even be billed as such, the umbrella of Green has put the stamp of sloganized consumerism all over anything remotely friendly for the environment. For example: if you think we can breathe for long on this planet after we’ve clear-cut every forest, you’re wrong. If you think we’ll cure many more diseases when the rain forest frog population has gone extinct. That isn’t to say we chain ourselves to trees, but stop the PR campaigns and admit what the agreed problems are, there are many. Gas prices are about economics, not the environment - If you had 100 diamonds and only 3 people wanted to buy them, how would you go about maximizing your profit? If you now still have only 100 diamonds and thousands of people want them, would you leave prices the same? This is much the same as the gas price debacle. It has nothing to do with profiteering oil companies. If anything they take more risks being where they are in the Middle East and being liable for employees who need serious protection. This doesn’t make it right, but they aren’t gouging us during a war time. Something different is happening: India and China are developing. In the same way our population and way-of-ease exploded in the twentieth century, so are those of India and China as we speak. That means the teenagers of wealthy parents might be driving a car to school. That means more two-car homes. That means two countries with populations over a billion apiece have more drivers on the road. Demand goes up, prices go up. We need to eliminate our dependence on foreign oil and all fossil fuels if we are to stay ahead in this world. It’s the American thing to do.
This was all sparked by a blog by Charles Wheelan, an economist and columnist for Yahoo! discussing the problem with job conversion to overcome skill jobs lost overseas and due to a slumping economy, and his link to how a lack of education is part of the issue. I would say to Dr. Wheelan he’s accepted an incomplete idea when he looks at statistics like unemployment rate by education to justify his hypothesis, that we cannot use empty buildings and available labor workers to train and build a new green energy infrastructure.
Although I generally agree with Dr. Wheelan, this just isn’t a very solid argument. His thought experiment can be considered another way: how many screw-ups do you know who still never lost their shot at a good job because of their situation at birth? How many hard-working people (or people at all) do you know in the poorest neighborhoods and rural areas in our country? Education is another indicator, a symptom maybe, but not the direct cause of anything. This argument falls flat at the point you realize pursuing an education (for some even beyond 8th grade) is not an equal opportunity. You can easily make it look like a race argument, but it’s truly just another sad testament to the shrinking middle-class. Here are my skillful questions:
Are standardized tests in wealthy, well-served schools the same as those in schools in the Phoenix area which do not have any maps in their history classrooms (except for the few instances where the teachers were able to provide one? Are the common jobs people do around those same schools similar in any way? Is the school surrounded by Doctor’s and Dentist’s offices tested using the same material as those who walk by a Church’s chicken and a row of unused (except for the loitering junkies) office spaces?
Soon to come: my laundry list for improving our education system.
