unastronaut*

Feet on the ground – head in the clouds.

Posts Tagged ‘election

A suspicion about the electoral map in 2008

with one comment

This is what I imagine could be possible in the very real world if all voters who have shown interest throughout the entire campaign — on both sides — shows up on Election Day (or voted early). If the race were to end up being close, with McCain winning the traditionally red states of North Dakota, Louisiana, Montana, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia & Arizona, holds Nebraska’s 2nd district and then locks down Florida, Pennsylvania & Ohio – the Republican will win the White House for a 3rd straight term 270-268. But if you have any doubts about any of those states, Obama should be the next President of the United States of America. President Barack Obama. I, for one, have doubts in all of those states. My doubts come from polls and first-hand accounts of the mood in many “red state” lines I’ve read in various blogs on the new 4th Estate. 

I’m not claiming to be an expert on anything nor am I really making a prediction per se, it’s more like what my gut would bet the farm on if I had like $3 left after losing my life savings, home and car in Vegas. I tend to look to fivethirtyeight.com, pollster.com and early voting statistics from the George Mason University Department of Public and International Affairs. Call me crazy, but I think the election can only be won for McCain with a LOT of voter suppression on Tuesday. Go to 270towin.com, make your own map and if you care link to it here. I’m curious to see where others think this race could go.

Advertisements

Written by unastronaut

November 2, 2008 at 5:26 pm

Anticipation and Wishful Thinking: the Veepstakes

leave a comment »

I realized it was the day of the text that will surely be read around the world and decided to post something short just to get back into the swing of writing after a long hiatus. Here we go:

My tactical side hopes he chooses Hillary Clinton. Let’s face it, she’s a political machine and I’m certain one day she will play the Terminator. She’s sure to get things done but will bring more heat from on-the-fence “hope” voters while rallying the Republican base. All-in-all I think if this is the pick, there’s no way the Democrats can lose this election. The name Clinton is all someone with an empty wallet needs in the end.

My wishful side hopes for an Obama-Clark ticket, with the retired 4-star General Wesley Clark solidifying any notions of Obama being weak on terror, while further legitimizing the notion that Iraq is the wrong front and we’ve already declared Mission Accomplished. Senator McCain has agreed with this on several occasions so honestly it’s hard to argue he wants to retreat without victory. He wants to take the victory home after 5 years of a diversion from the real enemy at hand.

My Kansas background hopes for Chuck Hagel, Republican from Nebraska although it poses serious problems both in terms of security and in maintaining the more left-leaning votes. I just kind of love this theoretical combination and wish it were possible in a real-world scenario.

My inner comedy fan wishes for an Obama-Richardson ticket. Bill Richardson has governed a border state and has foreign relations expertise. Both the power and presence of this administration would be good for America. Both men are driven and principled with separate pet issues that align nicely, and as Dave Chapelle put it — it would be sure to keep a President Obama safe.

But my inner-pragmatist believes the choice will be Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. He is both capable of going after the Republicans and providing some foreign policy credentials to the ticket. I don’t know that military expertise is something Obama should chase anyway, because if military experience is the voting issue, McCain is going to win every time. However justified, John McCain has been entreanched as an American hero and pop icon for “maverick” politics. So Obama-Biden it is, and you’ll soon see some harsh, yet calculated words from the new number two for Senator McCain as well as many talking heads in the media, who spew and perpetuate lies without correction or remorse.

Stark contrast in responsibility, popularity for McCain

with one comment

Jon Taplin had a great post that kind of epitomizes two of the key arguments that have been kicked around early in the general election season.  

First, the lavish lifestyle the McCains live show a stark contrast to the image they try to present.  They are not like the common family. They don’t identify fully, even with their peers in the military and education community.  

Second, John McCain is less fiscally responsible in his personal life than Barack Obama.  Given his lack of an heiress wife, Obama’s actually doing more with less than John McCain, who has never experienced a decade working two jobs to pay back student loans while raising children.  One could argue what McCain experienced was far worse, but I’d argue what Obama experienced was far more common and therefore identifies with more people.  This is further supported by the book royalties for the two candidates in the last year:  $4 million from two books for Obama, compared to less than $200,000 for McCain.

Interesting, to say the least. However the media frames the “working-class” seems to miss the boat with issues like this, where I know more people working their ass off to pay off student loans, to pay for school as they go, to pay for daycare so they can attend school, to pay for college even after they return from Iraq because the GI Bill is outdated, to barely pay their bills and never even have a shred of hope at attending college. I know very few husbands of heiresses. Granted, I know no heiress. I know some people who have been wealthy and healthy all their lives, but only because the lived a frugal, fiscally conservative lifestyle.

A dream ticket to ride…

with 3 comments

Barack Obama – President

When we elect the president this time around, we’re choosing between two distinct directions our nation will head. Only one of those offers a different choice than the status quo by the same means. Prior elections have often felt like choosing between the lesser of two evils. People who could have cared less in the past are now excited about the idea that someday someone in the White House will listen. We know they listen to money and lobbyists now, and it’s getting tired.

Ron Paul – Vice President

In a drastic move, Obama chooses a libertarian-leaning Republican for his ticket. This would never happen, but in my dream ticket, Paul joins Obama on the campaign and begins a new message: Compromise. The nation was built on two very difficult compromises, and stands today in part because change — however slow — keeps this nation great. Ron Paul has challenged both Senator Obama and Senator McCain about many issues, and agrees with both on a few. He would not balk at the chance to actually make an impact.

Al Gore – Department of Energy Secretary

Many people challenge Gore’s ties to green energy companies. Then go fill their vehicle with gas, while our administration is run by oil men. This decision would be hard to push, and would encounter lots of resistance but I think it’s best. Gore brings intellectualism back to the White House. We’ve been led to believe that “educated elites” are controlling the country. This isn’t true, elites with an “education” are in control, and they are not in academia. Research is judged by it’s own scientific discipline and community, not by foolish politicians and groups fighting progress.

Janet Napolitano – Department of Labor Secretary

She understands the need to bring jobs, train competitive workers and power our own economy. She wouldn’t oversee tax breaks being given to companies shipping jobs overseas, but would understand the role of comprehensive immigration reform on labor.  She who wouldn’t ignore the role of some businesses in giving jobs to undocumented workers and sending our unemployment higher.  Time Magazine has called her one of the five best governors in the nation, and jobs are her specialty.

Hillary Clinton – Department of Health & Human Services Secretary

Some might scoff at this position for the former Democratic candidate and near-nominee, but this is where she could make her mark, and prime herself with an accomplishment that would help her in future elections. It is from this post that she could best use her desire to bring quality, affordable health care to all Americans. With such a team, these individual projects would also be far more likely to connect. The Bush administration has given the playbook for a bombardment strategy. After being used to destroy our economy, morale and national health we can now use the same strategy to repair.

Mitt Romney – Department of Commerce Secretary

This would be another highly controversial and has zero likelihood, but again the incentive to Romney is the chance to accomplish something in a post-partisan administration and the Obama administration gains one hell of a business leader. Romney has proven himself as a solid economic executive in the business sector and at the state level. He’s also worked with the likes of Senator Edward Kennedy in Massachusetts to implement a statewide health insurance initiative. That program had its critics, but he certainly proved he does care about health and can work with everyone.

Wesley Clark – Department of Defense Secretary

Service, experience, commitment to getting American troops home safely and keeping us safe. There’s also nobody who would question his patriotism and should beware of such slimy attacks on an administration of which he’d be a part. It’s a smart political move and sends a strong message that the American people will be safe with a President Obama.

Bill Richardson – Secretary of the State Department

A former ambassador, and a strong leader in diplomacy and fearless engagement with our enemies would be perfect for this administration. His experience during the Clinton administration also helps his recognition around the world. He’s also not going to roll over and become a puppet like a certain past Secretary of State.

(ask Ron Paul) – Department of Education Secretary

Fifty departments of education in each state should compete. American competition will save our schools. Stop trying to push nonsense like school choice (tax incentives for those who can already afford private schools) and standardized testing. Until learning environments and school resources are standardized, stop trying to standardize the tests.

John Edwards – Special committee chairman to eliminate poverty.

As the pet project of Edwards and his wife, Elizabeth for quite some time, this position is tailor-fit for the pair. They ooze a bit of hypocrisy with their own lifestyles, but their intentions could be judged in two years and I believe that until Edwards is given a shot, it’s rude to judge them as hypocrites. His post would entail getting into the root causes of poverty and have a war on something that actually cripples America. Rather than throwing money into welfare, Edwards will work with other departments to promote job growth and bolster local law enforcement.

=================

Of course, after this announcement all of these people would join each other on state and candidly talk about some things they agree with and disagree with in the others’ politics, but in a way that emphasizes the new campaign message ‘Compromise’. The team would then each have a final word on what they believe will be the cornerstone of their presence in the administration and what the American people can expect from them. It wouldn’t hurt for us to get to know the depth of the administration you wish to appoint to lead this nation back to prosperity.

If you read this with the intent of criticism, that’s fine, but please keep your comments in the nature of debate.

 

Clinging to guns and the Constitution? McCain you fool…

with 2 comments

John McCain seems to not need a memory. Or facts. Or ideas even. He simply lies about Barack Obama’s tax plan and misquotes his “bitter” comments in such an interesting way…

Yes, Senator McCain, I cling to the Constitution, and I am bitter. Do you know why? Because your party and the president whose policies you whole-heartedly endorse have trampled all over the Constitution, the nearly 800 year old writ of habeas corpus, and our civil liberties. And yes, I must now cling to my gun. Not because I think those hippie liberals will take away my right to defend my family or go hunting, but because the essence of the 2nd Amendment is slipping.

Read the 2nd Amendment, there is no doubt the Founding Fathers were skeptical of government themselves. Our right to bear arms will always protect our freedom — from the government. Yes we use them for sport and personal protection, but the root of this freedom came from people who knew what it was like to be oppressed and have no rights or representation.

So Senator McCain, I cling to my gun and the Constitution. I find this works best when the Constitution is under attack. Maybe if you could correctly identify or quote anything, you’d understand just WHO they are under attack from — ideologues, on both sides.

When it comes right down to it, anyone who understand the incredible personalities of our Founding Fathers knows any one of them would cold-cock any or all of our elected officials for gross offenses to the Constitution. Less than 1% of those we’ve elected to represent the people are actually representing our interests. This isn’t so much about any one party as it is about partisanship in general. It’s phony. It’s old school. A dying school, I pray, for the sake of my country.

Technorati Tags: , ,

A few random words…

leave a comment »

If you like 26-year-olds being able to retire, then you love the 15% capital gains tax. If I have extra money and put it in the market to make more money, I pay that 15%. If I work my ass off 60-hours a week in a warehouse, I’m paying around 30%. That’s pretty awesome, huh? And truly, why are we taxing work (something we want people to do) at all?

If you’re investing in your retirement properly, capital gains taxes will not affect your retirement at all. Not to mention the fact that most people really struggling with retirement aren’t pretentiously bitching about capital gains taxes, they are worried about stretching a social security check. There are worse things than losing your Maserati.

Most people in America, at or around age 65 are forced into retirement. This is common practice, and perfectly acceptable in modern business. Maybe it is a good idea, but if we’re doing anything at all we should at least apply the rule to everyone. So I guess the question is…why do we allow people well past our own working age to run for the highest office in the land, if they’re no longer fit to work for the United States Postal Service? How can we have a commander-in-chief well past retirement age for our Army officers?

Cranky old man hates progress, what else is new?

leave a comment »

He’s losing grip on everything he once was. I’m ashamed of the campaigning I did for him in 2000, although I still wish it had been him over President Bush in the first place. This is what he has become:

Technorati Tags: , , , ,

Written by unastronaut

June 4, 2008 at 1:25 pm